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International

How a distant conflict can raise the price of everyday goods

Why Far-Off Conflicts Drive Up Daily Expenses

A war or political conflict thousands of miles away can raise the price of everyday goods at home through a chain of economic and logistical links. Modern supply chains are tightly interwoven, and essential inputs such as energy, metals, food, and shipping capacity are concentrated in a relatively small number of producing regions. When conflict disrupts production, trade flows, insurance, or finance in those regions, the cost of inputs rises and producers pass those costs on to consumers.Primary transmission pathwaysCommodity supply shocks — Conflicts that disrupt the export flow of oil, gas, wheat, fertilizers, or metals cut global availability and…
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Why water is increasingly seen as a geopolitical risk

Understanding Water’s Role in Geopolitical Instability

Freshwater underpins life, agriculture, energy production, industry, and vital ecosystem functions, yet its availability remains both scarce and uneven across the globe. Only around 2.5% of Earth’s water is freshwater, and just about 0.3% of the planet’s total water supply is easily accessible on the surface for human use. Meanwhile, expanding populations, accelerating urbanization, shifting dietary patterns, and ongoing economic growth continue to push demand upward. At the same time, climate change, retreating glaciers, declining groundwater reserves, pollution, and aging infrastructure are undermining the reliability of supply. Together, these pressures push water beyond a local management concern, turning it into…
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Why energy keeps getting used as a geopolitical tool

Deciphering Energy’s Geopolitical Persistence

Energy extends far beyond fuel and electricity, serving as the foundation for industry, transportation, household well-being, and military strength. Because of this central role, it becomes a particularly powerful instrument in international affairs. Governments, corporations, and nonstate actors leverage supply, pricing, infrastructure, regulation, and technological oversight to pursue strategic objectives. This behavior endures due to four persistent factors: the uneven global distribution of resources, the long lifespan of infrastructure and contractual arrangements, the rapid economic strain caused by supply disruptions, and the wide-ranging ripple effects on alliances and domestic political dynamics.Fundamental dynamics shaping energy geopoliticsSupply manipulation: producers can cut or…
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Why information manipulation threatens democratic stability

Safeguarding Democracy from Information Manipulation

Democratic stability rests on citizens who stay well-informed, institutions that earn public confidence, a common set of debated yet broadly accepted facts, and orderly transfers of power. Information manipulation — the intentional crafting, twisting, magnifying, or withholding of content to sway public attitudes or actions — steadily eats away at these pillars. It undermines them not only by circulating inaccuracies, but also by altering incentives, weakening trust, and turning public attention into a strategic tool. The threat operates systemically, leading to compromised elections, polarized societies, diminished accountability, and conditions that allow violence and authoritarian tendencies to take hold.The way information…
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Why Venezuela’s opposition leader Machado is betting her political future on Trump

Why Venezuela’s Machado is Aligning with Trump for Her Political Future

Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize laureate Maria Corina Machado arrives in Washington amid tense negotiations over her country’s future. Her visit coincides with U.S. debates over Venezuela’s leadership following Nicolás Maduro’s removal from power.Machado’s presence in the U.S. capital comes after a turbulent year in Venezuelan politics. Just 12 months ago, she was campaigning in Caracas, striving to galvanize citizens against Maduro as he began a third term despite contested election results. Her candidate, Edmundo González, had reportedly won a decisive victory, yet Maduro’s administration maintained power, leaving Machado sidelined and largely out of the public eye…
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Meet the trusted diplomat tasked with turning the US-backed ceasefire into peace for Gaza

The Diplomat’s Task: Securing Peace from Gaza Ceasefire

Bulgaria’s Nickolay Mladenov, a seasoned diplomat, has taken on one of the most challenging assignments of his career: overseeing the delicate implementation of a US-brokered plan to stabilize Gaza and guide its administration. His experience, relationships, and reputation will all be tested as he navigates the complex political terrain of the region.Mladenov’s path to this moment has unfolded over several decades of diplomatic work. In the early stages of his career, he assumed prominent roles within Bulgaria’s government, serving as defense minister at 37 and later taking on the position of foreign minister. His global portfolio broadened through his service…
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Venezuela has a ton of oil. It also has something else America needs

Venezuela’s Oil: More Than Just Black Gold for America

Venezuela’s extensive natural resources have reemerged within Washington’s strategic agenda, with its potential mineral reserves now portrayed as matters of national significance, although specialists caution that transforming these aspirations into tangible results is considerably more intricate than political discourse implies.When Donald Trump announced that U.S. companies would be allowed to tap into Venezuela’s vast oil reserves, the spotlight swiftly broadened far beyond petroleum, and policy discussions increasingly began to encompass minerals, metals, and even rare earth elements thought to lie beneath Venezuelan territory, resources considered vital across sectors such as defense, aerospace, clean energy, and consumer technology, and now central…
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The US is taking control of Venezuela and targeting Greenland. The Dow could still hit 50,000

Dow 50,000: US Interventions in Venezuela & Greenland

Despite political tensions and economic uncertainty, the US stock market continues to defy expectations, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average approaching record highs.Investors find themselves moving through a complicated environment marked by international conflicts, domestic tensions, and conflicting economic indicators, creating a setting where typical market behavior feels overturned, yet the Dow, which reflects the performance of 30 major publicly traded American corporations, continues advancing toward record territory, prompting analysts and observers to wonder why the market seems to maintain its strength despite clear signs of volatility.Political headlines versus economic realitiesRecent events have painted a turbulent picture. Internationally, Venezuela faces…
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The Maduro Operation: Rubio’s Journey from Planning to Power

The Maduro Operation: Rubio’s Journey from Planning to Power

Marco Rubio and the U.S.’s high-risk wager for Venezuela in the post-Maduro eraThe sweeping arrest of Nicolás Maduro became a pivotal moment in U.S.–Venezuela relations, with Marco Rubio at its core, whose influence within the Trump administration has recast Washington’s strategy toward Caracas and stirred profound uncertainty over what lies ahead for a fractured nation.On a January night charged with symbolism and consequence, U.S. military operations against Venezuela unfolded far from Washington’s traditional command centers. From Mar-a-Lago, President Donald Trump followed the raid that led to the capture of Nicolás Maduro, while beside him stood Secretary of State and National…
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Secret operation in Caracas ends with Maduro arrested and flown to New York

Venezuela woke on Saturday to a tense mix of relief, celebration, and fear after U.S. forces captured President Nicolás Maduro following a night of explosions and targeted strikes across the Caracas Valley.As residents cautiously returned to the streets, reactions split sharply. Some Venezuelans expressed hope that Maduro’s removal could open a path toward change after years of repression and crisis, while others condemned the operation and rallied to demand his release, calling the arrest an abduction and denouncing a breach of national sovereignty.Despite a few scattered moments of celebration, a sense of uncertainty permeated many conversations. Several individuals noted that…
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